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Toronto Maple Leafs: NHL Stock Market – Who Is Rising and Falling

By James Tanner

TORONTO, ON - MARCH 29: Connor McDavid #97 of the Edmonton Oilers battles for the puck against Auston Matthews #34 of the Toronto Maple Leafs during the first period an NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on March 29, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Claus Andersen/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ON - MARCH 29: Connor McDavid #97 of the Edmonton Oilers battles for the puck against Auston Matthews #34 of the Toronto Maple Leafs during the first period an NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on March 29, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Claus Andersen/Getty Images) /
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Feb 3, 2020; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs defenseman Rasmus Sandin (38)  y Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 3, 2020; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs defenseman Rasmus Sandin (38)  y Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports /

The NHL Stock Market

Florida Panthers (10-2-2)  .786 ↓ They are sixth in the NHL in goals-above-expected (JFresh) and 3rd in overall shooting percentage.  They 12th overall in combined special teams (slindenberg.com).  They are not ranked super high in either 5v5 save or shooting percentage.   Obviously they started out so hot they can only go down, but they are a legitimate contender by all statistics, and while they were getting lucky early on, it seems to be balancing out.

Carolina Hurricanes (10-2-0) .833  ↓↓  Another real contender who is doing to too well to sustain their current play.  Like Florida, the Hurricanes started red hot.  They are probably not as good as   FLA and they are definitely not as good as their record.  But a down arrow doesn’t mean they are bad, it just means they can’t maintain this pace.  They are tops in the league in 5v5 PDO and cannot possibly believe Frederik Andersen is as good as he’s been.

Edmonton Oilers (10-3-0) .769 ↓↓   The Oilers are a real contender and will be as long as they have Connor McDavid on their roster.  They just aren’t this good. They are by far the best special teams team in the league, owing to their PP that is over 40%.   That can’t last.  They are second in goals above expected, but given their roster that isn’t too crazy.  The Mario/Jagr Pens never got over 30% and to my knowledge the best ever is the 78-79 Islanders who scored at 32%.  So even if it’s the best PP ever, it’s still not this good.   16th at 5v5 Expected-goals is a huge red flag.

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