Toronto Maple Leafs: NHL Stock Market – Who Is Rising and Falling

TORONTO, ON - MARCH 29: Connor McDavid #97 of the Edmonton Oilers battles for the puck against Auston Matthews #34 of the Toronto Maple Leafs during the first period an NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on March 29, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Claus Andersen/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ON - MARCH 29: Connor McDavid #97 of the Edmonton Oilers battles for the puck against Auston Matthews #34 of the Toronto Maple Leafs during the first period an NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on March 29, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Claus Andersen/Getty Images) /
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Toronto Maple Leafs
Oct 4, 2021; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs   Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports /

NHL Stock Market Teams 4-7

Washington (8-2-4) .714 ↓↓↓↓  They lead the NHL in goals above expected, and like Edmonton they are not ranked highly in 5v5  expected goals.  They are getting lucky so far, but do not appear to be a real contender.

The Capitals have a veteran roster and Alex Ovechkin is as good as ever, so they probably aren’t far off contending.  The class of the NHL is Toronto , Tampa, Colorado, Vegas, Carolina and Florida, but I think Washington is probably right their in the next group of teams.  They just aren’t as good as their current record.

Toronto Maple Leafs ( 9-5-1 ) .633 ↑↑↑ They are fifth last in 5v5 shooting percentage, and 3rd last overall.  They rank 16th in 5v5 save percentage.  They are 6th in Corsi and 2nd in Expected-Goals Percentage.  They are better than their record.

Clearly once the Leafs start to get some production from their first line, they are going to score more than they have been and they’ll likely do even better.

Anaheim (8-4-3) .633 ↓↓↓  They are 25th in Corsi. 24th in Expected-Goals Percentage. Unless the Adam Henrique led Ducks actually do have one of the best power-plays ever *(26%) and unless they can maintain being the third best special teams team in the NHL, they are going down.

St. Louis Blues (8-2-2) .750 ↓↓↓  Sorry Blues fans, but a great record via a 35%  power-play is simply not sustainable.