The Odds on the Toronto Maple Leafs Free-Agents Returning

NEW YORK, NY - MARCH 30: James van Riemsdyk #25 (l) of the Toronto Maple Leafs scores at 2:01 of the third period against the New York Islanders and is joined by Tyler Bozak #42 (r) at the Barclays Center on March 30, 2018 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - MARCH 30: James van Riemsdyk #25 (l) of the Toronto Maple Leafs scores at 2:01 of the third period against the New York Islanders and is joined by Tyler Bozak #42 (r) at the Barclays Center on March 30, 2018 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images) /
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Toronto Maple Leafs
TORONTO, ON – MARCH 31: Leo Komarov /

Leo Komarov, UFA ($2.95 mil/4 years)

I was a little apprehensive when Komarov was signed to this contract four seasons ago. However, he has played up to expectations, and it definitely doesn’t feel like a cumbersome contract. The issue becomes how much of a raise he gets, because he’s definitely due one. Of all the Toronto Maple Leafs UFAs, I believe Komarov has the highest odds to return next season. He’s one of Mike Babcock’s favorites, and he plays a vital depth role for the team. He kills penalties, plays on the powerplay (though I have some questions there), and is a great option to take defensive zone draws when necessary. As for what he ends up making on the new deal, something like $3 million for 2-3 years makes sense. If they can agree to reasonable term, there shouldn’t be a reason why Komarov doesn’t return next season.

Odds to Return: 60%

Dominic Moore, UFA ($1 mil/1 year)

The Toronto Maple Leafs search for a fourth line centre continues, because Moore did not impress Babcock as the season progressed. He barely played any time at all as the regular season wound down. Moore only played Game 6 and 7 in the playoffs, and that was only  because the Leafs were trying to shake their lineup to match up better with the Bruins. There are better options out there, whether it’s down with the Marlies or another free agent acquisition. Moore’s second stint with the Leafs didn’t work, and I’d be shocked if he returns next season.

Odds to Return: 5%