Why the Toronto Maple Leafs Will Win the Atlantic Division

The Leafs are in a great position to win their division and earn an easier path in the playoffs.
Feb 22, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN;  Toronto Maple Leafs forward Alex Steeves (46) celebrates with teammates at the bench after scoring a goal against the Carolina Hurricanes in the first period at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images
Feb 22, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs forward Alex Steeves (46) celebrates with teammates at the bench after scoring a goal against the Carolina Hurricanes in the first period at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images | Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images
3 of 3

The Shutdown Defensive Pair of Chris Tanev and Jake McCabe

While the Leafs offense often grabs the headlines, it’s their defensive improvements that have truly elevated them this season. The offensive numbers have slipped, but the Maple Leafs defensive numbers are much improved. Their penalty-killing, goals-against, and goals-against at 5 vs. 5 have seen noticeable improvement.

A major factor in this is the emergence of Chris Tanev and Jake McCabe as a shutdown defensive pair. Tanev’s elite defensive IQ and shot-blocking ability have made him a cornerstone of the Leafs’ defensive scheme.

Alongside McCabe, a sturdy and tough defenseman who excels at breaking up plays and protecting the crease, the two have formed an excellent pairing. Together, they provide a reliable presence on the blue line, capable of neutralizing the opposition’s top lines.

The Maple Leafs have not had a reliable pair like this in previous playoffs. Their defensive abilities have been instrumental in tightening up the Leafs’ overall defensive play, which has been one of the main reasons for their success.

Dominating When Leading After Two Periods

One of the most telling statistics for any successful team is their ability to close out games when leading after two periods. The Leafs have excelled in this area, posting an impressive (undefeated) record when ahead after 40 minutes of play.

Their ability to manage the game, maintain composure, and prevent opponents from mounting a comeback has been a significant strength. Whether it's through solid goaltending, disciplined defense, or timely scoring to put the game away, Toronto has proven they know how to finish strong.

This is crucial in their quest for the division title, as being able to protect leads in tight games is often the difference between success and failure.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are built to compete at the highest level this season, and their combination of solid goaltending, elite offensive talent, lockdown defense, and ability to close out games gives them a strong case to win the Atlantic Division.

With Woll and Stolarz holding down the crease, the dominance of Matthews, Marner, and Nylander up front, and Tanev and McCabe shutting down opposing attackers, Toronto is a well-rounded team poised for a deep playoff run. If they can maintain their form and continue to capitalize on their strengths, there's no reason why they won’t be the team to beat in the Atlantic Division.

Schedule