Game Preview: Toronto Maple Leafs vs LA Kings

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are in California to face the defending Stanley Cup Champions tonight.

Since the Jonathan Bernier trade, the story between the Leafs and Kings is always centered around the Leafs star goaltender – today is no different.

With a potent Kings offense, Bernier will have to play another great game of hockey for the Leafs if they want to leave Los Angeles with two points in hand.

Kings head coach Darryl Sutter was asked about the last couple meetings with the Leafs and responded in typically hilarious Sutter-style.

The Kings are currently battling to hang on to the final playoff spot in the Western Conference while the Leafs are trying to climb back into one in the East.

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Peter Horachek will have his hands full lining up across from the smart bench boss in LA, who does an excellent job of finding desirable matchups for his team.

The top line for Toronto has to produce – it’s as simple as that. The best players need to be the best players when you’re playing a team of such quality as the Kings.

Let’s take a look at the projected line combinations for the Leafs, the tale of the tape and the analytics report for the Kings vs Leafs matchup.

Next: Projected Lines

Projected Maple Leafs Line Combinations

Jan 7, 2015; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs goaltender Jonathan Bernier (45) guards the net against the Washington Capitals at the Air Canada Centre. Washington defeated Toronto 6-2. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Winnik – Bozak – Kessel

van Riemsdrk – Kadri – Panik

Komarov – Santorelli – Clarkson

Booth – Smith – Brodie

Phaneuf – Franson

Rielly – Polak

Gardiner – Robidas

Bernier

Next: Tale of the Tape

Tale of the Tape

Dec 14, 2014; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Los Angeles Kings forward Anze Kopitar (11) carries the puck against the Toronto Maple Leafs at the Air Canada Centre. Toronto defeated Los Angeles 4-3 in an overtime shot out. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto

22-17-3 47 points (10th Eastern Conference)

PP: 20.7% (9th NHL)

PK: 82.0% (13th NHL)

G/GP: 3.19 (2nd NHL)

GA/GP: 3.07 (25th NHL)

Win Pct When Score First: .800 (4th NHL)

Los Angeles

19-13-10 48 points (8th Western Conference)

PP: 20.3% (11th NHL)

PK: 78.5% (25th NHL)

G/GP: 2.81 (11th NHL)

GA/GP: 2.52 (13th NHL)

Win Pct When Score First: .650 (19th NHL)

The Leafs have one of the best power plays in the league matching up against one of the worst penalty kill units – something they’ll need to take advantage of when given the opportunity.

The focus all game will be getting shots on Jonathan Quick. The Kings goalie can be hard to beat so the Leafs will need to capitalize on special teams offensively as well as keep the Kings power play off the board.

The Leafs still boast a .800 win percentage when scoring first – although that number has been on a slow decline – so getting the first goal is important, especially from a mental aspect to the game.

For the Kings it doesn’t really matter as much whether they score first – they’re only interested in scoring last.

Next: Analytics Report

Analytics Report

Jan 7, 2015; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs assistant coach Steve Staios (left) and interim head coach Peter Horachek (center) and assistant coach Steve Spott (right) during the first period against the Washington Capitals at the Air Canada Centre. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

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Two teams on opposite poles of the advanced statistics spectrum.

The Kings control the puck – it’s that simple. They get the puck and get shot attempts on an extremely lopsided advantage over Toronto.

That’s not going to make things easy for the Leafs.

Los Angeles also spends the majority of their zone starts in the offensive zone compared to the defensive zone so the Leafs will have their work cut out for them against one of the best possession teams in the league.

The Leafs have been better since the Randy Carlyle firing but with improvements coming gradually it could be a tough night of possession for the Leafs.

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