Last Week: 1-1, +0.05 Units
YTD: 3-3, +0.18 Units
For those who are new to the site, this is a weekly sports betting column where I will post my best picks from the NHL every Saturday morning for the games that day. All odds that I quote are from Bet365.
I went 1-1 again last weekend squeaking out a small profit. I have three picks to play today including a few stinkers, so plug your nose and close your eyes if you think you have the stomach to follow these picks.
1) Toronto Maple Leafs +145 (Moneyline) at Montreal Canadiens
This is strictly a value play for me. These two teams always play each other tough whether they are evenly matched or not. The Canadiens are getting way too much respect here based on their hot start. Let’s not forget how bad this team was last year. Sure their organization was a mess and they are getting contributions from new additions like Alex Galchenyuk and Brandon Prust, but they still are not an elite team to warrant this kind of juice. I typically do not wager on the Maple Leafs, but it is too hard to stay away at this price.
I might just be an idiot taking the Capitals as they appear to be the worst team in the NHL, but I believe they still have something left to give. Do I think they are going to make the playoffs? No I don’t, but I think they are a better team than the Florida Panthers, who I also believe will not be playoff bound. The Capitals beat the Panthers in all three games at home last year and they might just be the tonic to cure what ails them. I love to play favorites in regulation to get that extra value back.
Another value play here with the young Oilers. This is simply the odds makers giving the Red Wings respect based on past performance. I am not buying the Red Wings this season. Although they still have Henrik Zetterberg and Pavel Datsyuk, their back end is a complete mess. The Oilers have some injuries up front, but they still have a lot of talent that should give the Red Wings defense a lot of problems. We are taking back almost one and half times our money with the Oilers and that is worth a play to me.
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